منابع مشابه
Conditional Probability
A fair die is about to be tossed. The probability that it lands with ‘5’ showing up is 1/6; this is an unconditional probability. But the probability that it lands with ‘5’ showing up, given that it lands with an odd number showing up, is 1/3; this is a conditional probability. In general, conditional probability is probability given some body of evidence or information, probability relativised...
متن کاملLexicographic probability, conditional probability, and nonstandard probability
The relationship between Popper spaces (conditional probability spaces that satisfy some regularity conditions), lexicographic probability systems (LPS’s) [Blume, Brandenburger, and Dekel 1991a; Blume, Brandenburger, and Dekel 1991b], and nonstandard probability spaces (NPS’s) is considered. If countable additivity is assumed, Popper spaces and a subclass of LPS’s are equivalent; without the as...
متن کاملConditional Probability Estimation
This paper studies in particular an aspect of the estimation of conditional probability distributions by maximum likelihood that seems to have been overlooked in the literature on Bayesian networks: The information conveyed by the conditioning event should be included in the likelihood function as well.
متن کاملLowe on Conditional Probability
The concept of conditional probability has been employed for hundreds of years. Thomas Bayes used the expression "the probability that [B] on the supposition that [A]" in the statement of a basic law (1763, p. 378). Frank Ramsey, developing the application of probability to uncertain epistemic attitudes, the "logic of partial belief (1926, p. 166), wrote of your "degree of belief in [B] given [...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Philosophical Logic
سال: 2016
ISSN: 0022-3611,1573-0433
DOI: 10.1007/s10992-016-9416-8